March 2024:All about bookmakers

Thursday, March 7, 2024

Win-win strategy for sure bets

 The arb strategy is the only strategy that guarantees the player a profit, no matter the result, however, it is extremely difficult to find bets for it. To do this, you will have to look at the lines of several companies and look for inflated odds.


How does the arb strategy work? Let's look at an example.


For the match between Atlético and Elche, one of the bookmakers offers to bet on TB 2.5 with odds of 2.05. And at another bookmaker you will find a bet on TM 2.5 with quotes of 2.10. If you bet the same amount, you will be in the black anyway.


Of course, you won’t see such freebies for top matches. To find overvalued odds, you need to go to unpopular championships (Qatar, South Africa, Finland) or to the lower leagues. Value bets for arbs are also found in exotic sports (floorball, darts, cricket).

Corner kick betting strategy

 Among football bets, outcomes with corner kicks are not very popular, but professionals often look towards such an outcome. Place a bet on the favorite of the match with a minus handicap (-2 or -3 would be a good decision). But you can place a bet only if the following criteria are met:


The favorite team plays at its home stadium.

The team prefers to play through crosses from the flanks and does not strongly adhere to combination football.

Among the attackers there is a pillar (a tall forward who can force a fight for the ball).

The outsider team sets up a bus at its gate and has little to offer in attack.

Football total betting strategy

 The essence of the strategy is to bet on a total greater than 2.5. One of the most popular bets in bookmakers. It is recommended to place a bet when the match meets the following criteria:


The match is played by two teams playing in an attacking style of play.

The teams' best scorers are on the roster, and the physical condition of the goalscorers is not a cause for concern.

Each of the opponents has high tournament motivation - a draw result will not suit the teams.

In past games involving these teams, TB 2.5 was shot at least 70% of the time.

Opponents produce productive matches during the season.

D'Alembert and Flat betting strategy in football

 With flat everything is as simple as possible. The strategy involves a fixed amount for each bet, regardless of the quotes and your bankroll. For example, you decide to bet $3 on each bet. The result needs to be looked at over distances - professionals evaluate the effectiveness of flats after 100-200 matches.

The d'Alembert betting strategy is based on the law of equilibrium of the French scientist Jean D'Alembert. You make an initial bet and then determine the increment. After a loss, the bet amount increases, and after a win, it decreases. For example, you bet $10 and the increment is $5. Lost? Bet $15. Did you win? Bet $10 again, etc.

Oscar Grind Strategy

 Oscar Grind is a famous American betting player, but instead of sports, he preferred casinos, and even developed his own strategy. The basis was the usual theory of probability. The capper takes two equally likely outcomes and bets on them. Now let's look at the essence of this strategy.

First you need to set a goal as a percentage of your bankroll. Let's say you have $100 and you would like to make a 5 percent profit ($5) in one cycle. In case of loss, the bet does not change, but winnings double it. We select outcomes with quotes starting from 2.00.

For example, you bet $5 with odds of 2.00. If you win, you receive a profit of $5, which means the cycle is completed.

If you lose, make a second bet of $5 with odds of 2.00. Another loss? We repeat the action. After winning, we bet 10 dollars. A win will close the cycle.

For a strategy to work, it is important to choose equally likely outcomes. A great example: betting on an even and odd number of goals. Although minimal analytics still won’t hurt.

Betting strategy on a draw

 The essence of the strategy is simple and clear - you need to choose a match of equal strength opponents. In pre-match situations, a draw is usually estimated at 3.00-3.50, so even on a flat (bet with the same amount, over a distance) you can make a good profit. It is reasonable to bet on a draw in the following situation:


There are many draws in the tournament.

A draw would be a satisfactory result for each opponent.

In personal meetings between teams, a draw has often been recorded in the last 3-5 years.

In the results statistics, teams often end matches in a draw (based on the results of 5-10 rounds).

Betting strategy for late goals

 The essence of the strategy is that the player predicts that a goal will be scored after the 75th minute of the match. In live, you can wait until the 80th minute for the odds to increase to 2.00 or higher. You can place a bet when the match meets the following criteria:

There are many chances in the match, both at one and the other goal.

One of the teams does not have a clear advantage in the score.

The coach refreshed the squad and released fast forwards.

The most predicted total by bookmakers did not play in the game.

In addition, there are teams that consistently score in the last minutes. Let's remember the famous "Fergie Time" at Manchester United.

Betting strategy for catching up

 Dogon is the most popular sports strategy, suitable for any sports discipline. The idea is as simple as possible - with each unsuccessful bet, you increase the amount of the next bet in order to win back all your losses with one bet.

The classic catch-up, called the Martingale strategy, requires the player to double each subsequent bet - $2, $4, $8, etc. And the outcome odds must be at least 2.00.

The strategy can be modified. For example, you place the next bet with odds of 3.40 (the outcome seemed passable to you, based on the analytics performed). There is no need to double the bet. There is even a special formula for calculation:

C = (CB + SP) / (K-1), where C is the bet amount, CB is the amount of the planned winnings from the first bet, SP is the sum of all losses, and K is the odds of the event on which you are betting

Betting strategy on total goals in the first half

 This strategy involves a match where teams are not going to play defensively. The second game of the playoff stage is suitable, when it is important for one of the teams to win back the advantage, so there is no time to build up. If the odds for a total of more than one goal are above 1.50, place a bet with this outcome. You can take a risk and bet on TB 1.5 - quotes are usually above 2.00. A good life hack: place a bet live. Total odds will increase in real time, and in 5-10 starting minutes you will understand whether the teams have the potential to make the first half productive or not. Place a bet only when the score remains 0:0.

Double Chance Betting Strategy

 “Double chance” is a popular outcome when a player insures himself by choosing two out of three outcomes at once. Bookmakers offer three double chance options:


1X – home win or draw;

12 – victory of the hosts or guests (a draw is excluded);

X2 – guest victory or draw.

The winning bet will be with any of the options. For example, you bet on the result 1X - both the victory of the first team and the draw make your bet equally winning.


In what cases is it recommended to bet on double chance?


You predict the favorite to win, but you are not 100 percent confident in the team. If the odds for his victory are above 1.95, then a double chance can be placed at 1.30-1.50.

Choose a match where the favorite is strong but is in significant trouble. For example, there are a lot of injuries in the team or the team plays too many matches in a short period of time. Place a double chance bet on the underdog. Quotes sometimes exceed 2.50-3.00.

Look at a match where neither team is satisfied with a draw, and place a bet on the “12” option, which excludes a draw.

Betting strategy Fibonacci system

 If a player really manages to bet on options with odds of 3, he can use the Fibonacci system. This is a soft catch-up when rates increase in the following sequence:

1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34

It is easy to see that the size of each bet is equal to the sum of the previous two. That is, after each loss, the size of the next bet is equal to the sum of the previous two. The first rate is 1% of the current bank. The following are also defined as interest from the bank.

It is easy to see that the bettor has 9 consecutive attempts in stock. If he loses them, then 12% of the bank remains. And it is also important that with each step the potential profit increases. That is, it turns out not only to win back, but also to earn more than in the first steps. These football bets (strategies) provide good chances for confident growth of the bank.

Flat bets

 You can use a standard flat, when for each operation with odds from 2 to 3, the bettor allocates from 4% to 5% of the current bank. The player’s main goal is to confidently pass the break-even point and gain profit. To earn 20% on bets with odds of 2.5, a person must win 48% of the bet. And even if these are not win-win football betting strategies, flat bets are quite reliable.

Please note that it is often possible to catch large odds in live games. And if you have accounts in different offices, then it’s even better, because you’ll be able to find options with odds of 3 or higher.