Analysts bookmakers improve their job every year, and found in line domatchevoy favorable factor is becoming more and more difficult. Fortunately, more and more opportunities for betting available during matches, especially in Asian bookmakers such as SBOBET, who seek to live in almost everything that is played at the moment, and even a little beyond that.
Their goal is clear: these bookmakers living from trafficking, and the more events to in-line, involving putting money, the higher the speed will be offices and ultimately - their profits. The downside of this process - such bookmakers inevitably substituted "under attack" professional players, because it is impossible to properly expose the coefficients of absolutely everything, including the matches of the junior club teams up to 17 years and "prefabricated pumping stations." But in order to give adequate difficult odds on all events and even during the matches! The last we are going to do.
For a start - a little technical part. Lines that bookmakers give to live, are directly dependent on the following things: domatchevoy line, match time, the current account and the presence of deletions in teams. It is clear how these components influence on the odds, totals and ratios during the matches, and as it should be understood that the line issued solely on the basis of these assumptions may not entirely reflect what is actually happening on the field.
Sami kotirovschiki bookmakers at all desire can not personally keep track of the progress of all the games, even if the matches are shown on TV. Therefore, the most advanced bookmakers try to be at every game, they give betting live, your correspondent to the periodic phone reported the most important information about the game, such as "home team has a great advantage," or "in the game a lot of chances to score" .
Often, however, this is still not enough to live in line was adequate to reality. Firstly, this information affects, as a rule, only at the current rates, but do odds and totals still change "mechanically", starting from their domatchevyh values. And, for example, if prior to the start of the match bookies give the total is "greater than 2", and in the first half, the team suddenly decided to play open football and not implemented ten chances to score, then break the size of Thoth will be put "on the machine" in half of his domatchevoy value, i.e. "Greater than 1". Except that the ratio may be somewhat lower than usual. And if this kind of events in the first half kotirovschikam BelTA.
And secondly, on the podium with the phone sitting is not football experts as paying for it a bit. Usually it is simple inhabitants, students and pensioners, who had nothing to do like to go to football and do not mind a bit of money by supplying information to bookmakers. And thus, the information they provide is often fairly superficial and can not go to the benefit of the bookmakers. But we - quite the contrary.
It is clear that we are not able to attend all of these games, or even more so to have their own, more qualified experts, but in our time to find the Internet broadcast many games, which give raise to live, is not too difficult.
Optionally even watch all the football from start to finish. During the game there are usually three key points that may allow it to earn good money if you are good at this sport.
The first such moment - is 30 minutes of the first half. Just turn into the broadcast on the 15th, and usually to the specified time is already possible to catch a certain tendency, if they were outlined in the game. For example, one of the teams has a significant advantage (and it is important that it was not a territorial advantage, or the advantage in terms of possession, but first and foremost advantage created dangerous moments), but in live-betting on the outcome of the first half, it gives a head start (0) (hereinafter, when it comes to handicap during the match, meaning a head start on the current difference in the long run, as is common in Asian bookmakers, for example, when the score was 2: 1 odds (0) to the first team means " usual "Asian handicap (-1), ie, if the difference does not change, we will get a return on such rate, if" our "increase the score - win if the opponent to even the score or win, you lose) with an attractive coefficient (1.80 and above), any and all the plus handicap. Well, for example, because this team before the match was quoted as an outsider. No need to be an expert in football special to identify such cases and use them profitably.
The second point - this is the first 15 minutes of the second half, along with the impressions of the first half. It is important to see not changed whether the trends that emerged before the break? These trends may be the same distinct advantage of one of the teams scoring chances (if we put on it, if it is given with a handicap of zero to positive), the overall large number of attacking play and scoring chances (if we are eyeing the totals "more" better in time when the value of Thoth will be exactly one more than the current amount of goals; it usually happens to the 65 minutes, if the value of Thoth before the match was equal to "standard" for football, 2.5).
The third moment begins with about 70 minutes of the match. This is one of the most profitable things, as it was in this period bookmakers due to the mechanical nature of issuing and odds ratios allow the greatest systemic error in the line! The most common is: one team is in the lead and playing defensively. The losing team has the ball, territorial advantage (and all of this information, the bookmaker receives from correspondent at the stadium), but almost does not threaten the opponent's goal (an important detail that is often missing correspondent!). A winning team is conducting dangerous counterattacks, which often end with dangerous moments. However, it is in line with Handicap (0), and even with a decent ratio, which sometimes reaches 3 !!!
For example do not even need to go far: a week before writing this article, the author watched the second half of the second match of the German Bundesliga Aachen - Aue. By the 70th minute the score was 1: 2, the picture on the box exactly corresponded to that described in the previous paragraph, and in Aue (0) gave 2.88 already! Of course, I could not refuse such a gift. The final score of the match - 1: 5. And this happens on a regular basis.
The fourth point - the automatic increase in the coefficient for the team, get a red card. However, football - this is not hockey, and a numerical minority of the teams do not always affect the course of the match uniquely. Teams that have lost due to the removal of one player is often not simply keep the current account, but also achieve a positive result. The match Palermo - Cesena, again, not so long ago, Cesena recouped in the last minute with the score 0: 2, having at least two players! You can guess what factors were already live that Cesena simply keep the score 0: 2, not to mention something more! Note that in this case, of course, and in Palermo there were dangerous moments on the counter, ie, in the end of the match, in addition to the odds at Cesena, a distinct advantage over the line was in the interest rate on the total "more."
Such "extreme" cases all, of course, are rare, but quite common situation where the team (while playing at full strength) in Live odds are zero with equal coefficients. You receive a red card, and the coefficient on, get her team grows automatically, for example, from 1.95 to 2.45. But we can see that the game of removing completely changed: the team how to create equal chances to score, and continue to do so, and it is obvious that such an equal game should be placed just on the team, you give odds (0) of 2.45 . It's just a very profitable at a distance.
The most profitable use of such a situation, provided that I call "the principle of unrealized potential." In a nutshell, this means that if we put in the handicap team has a clear advantage on the scoring chances, it is best to this team at the moment rates have not led to credit (except very very obviously profitable cases, as in the example above with Aue) . And if we put on the total "more" with an abundance of scoring chances, it is best to at this time in the match was scored fewer goals as possible (ideally - none). That is, one must strive to catch an event that clearly "matures", but not yet implemented.
And, of course, ratios. All of the above applies to more or less large coefficients of about 2.00, the higher - the more attractive and more profitable to run. In the general case, we estimate the probability, and if the corresponding coefficient is significantly overvalued relative to our estimate - we put this bet. A simple example: if one of the teams has a significant advantage in scoring chances, but it gives a head start (0), then the coefficients of 1.90 are already uniquely beneficial to bet. The more pronounced is the benefit of the lower rate for us. But to a certain limit. For me, this limit is equal to 1.70: lower rates, I do not play.
In conclusion, I want to note that the points described above - it is not far from the "banker". These rates will inevitably sometimes lose, simply because football does not always obey the logic, and the team, which had a 15 per game scoring chances, can once and play the team that created only one opportunity to score, but to implement it. But, nevertheless, it is the expectation on the plus-rate, and in the long term, they will inevitably profit. Therefore, placing a bet, do not need to inspect the match and "rooting" for ensuring that it is passed. It is better to turn one of the concurrent broadcasts and try to find something there.
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