The most important rule - put only on those events in which you are good. And not just hear that, for example, there are commands, that this - like a clear favorite and usually wins, and this - basically anything not claim, or have on hand the standings and think you this is enough; and possess enough information about the current form of the teams, standings and problems, the state's leading players, etc. The more information you have - the more objective will be your match analysis, and the greater the chance that you select the correct outcome of the bet.
First of all, you need to take away from the event line. Some "fans to bet" is often put on everything, as have at least some idea (and sometimes worse - and in general to all in a row). It is not right. You always have to carefully select the events for betting, as a rule, the degree of confidence in the outcome of an event (best of all, of course, that this confidence is not based only on intuition, and was under a sufficient logical basis, but does exclude intuition from consideration too it is wrong, especially if you really worked). The coefficients are not necessarily have to play a significant role in the end, if for some events you can not find the selected outcomes with appropriate coefficients to you, they can (and should) not put. But on the other hand, some events may attract you is a factor for a particular outcome, and it is also a matter of course: on this, in particular, the strategy is based, called the Value Betting. But in any case choose to bet on this match or not, it is from this position, and not on the principle like "this game will be interesting to see, then, should be put on it (to make it more fun)."
Selecting events (matches), you need to select and outcomes in each event for which you are going to deliver. Basically, the initial selection of outcomes based on intuition and on the evaluation of the coefficients on the principle of "good / normal / low" (in the latter case, that is, if you think that the factor for this outcome is too low, it is better to look for a higher ratio in other offices or not to put on this outcome at all), unless, of course, before you pick up the line, you advance, according to the statistics or any other criteria, not away matches and outcomes, which will be put. However, intuition is almost never comes alone: your intuitive view consciously or unconsciously formed on the basis of objective (statistics, information on the state teams, injuries, disqualifications, etc.), or, what is worse - of subjective (stable majority opinion , "experts", "authority" in the bookmaking, etc.) data. And often - together, and that, and another.
Of course, it is best to go to the bookmaker, already knowing what events and what their outcomes you bet. In the case of online betting is, however, not essential, as the information you need can be analyzed in the process of selecting the events, unless, of course, do not feel sorry for money for the extra time on the network. The main information that players take into account when deciding what to put, - it is, of course, statistical information: standings teams, balance games the hosts and guests on departure, performance teams in recent games, the story of meeting current rivals to each other, etc. .d. But we should not overestimate the importance of this information: if the results of all the games in full or at least in the absolute majority subordinated to statistics, one would not take bets on them. Therefore, statistics should not be a decisive criterion in determining what to put. In general, any information (except, perhaps, reliable data that this match - contract or purchased, with the famous pre outcome) should not be critical: an assessment on what the outcome of the bet, should be done on the basis of a comprehensive assessment of all available information.
News from the camp teams - too is an important information. Although, if you are not familiar with their rivals in the match, to which you want to deliver, the names of disqualified, injured, lost form, etc. players are unlikely to help you: you need to know everything else, what position plays eliminated or caught in a strip a player of failures, and who could replace him in what condition and how it affects the general state of the team. It can help to more detailed news, but, for example, news from the camp of the teams participating in UEFA club competition to find much easier than, for example, information on the status of the third division of English clubs. In this case it is better to underestimate the significance of the loss of a player, as a team in such cases usually rallying and work out, as they say, "for myself and for the guy", and often compensate for the loss of an increased commitment. Even the loss of the main goalkeeper, which is difficult to compensate even the increased reliability of the game on the defensive, not always affect the number of goals conceded: so many good goalies sitting on the bench waiting for his chance.
For information about how important this particular match for each team, too, one can not lose sight of, although it is also not necessary to overestimate its importance, if one of the teams do not need anything, and the second for something struggling and needs glasses, not the fact that everything goes as it should last: discarding purely sporting factors (often players that do not have crushes responsibility in that whatever was to take points, play more relaxed, as they say, for your pleasure, and eventually triumph over the psychological "crushed" the need to make the contestants result), there are plenty in semi: the first team can stimulate competition opponent (which is legal), the relationship between the clubs and their competitors may be such that, for example, one of the teams even in a meaningless match for her to fight with your opponent, especially if it is a derby, or vice versa, can it out of friendship and yield. However, if there is an outcome that fully satisfies both commands (for example, one need only point to become champion, and the other - the same point, so as not to fly), with very high probability that way the match ended. A separate case - Friendlies: if teams play can still be more or less successfully to predict, knowing, at least in some formulations, they gathered, then predict the results of test matches club teams - a hopeless task.
Finally, we must also take into account the phase of the tournament. Usually in any championship favorites start the season or shaky or rolls, and "notebooks" outsiders, on the contrary, show agility and can easily at any time be at the head of the standings. The teams, notably to update their compositions, it takes time to play, so it is not surprising that teams would seem, entirely made up of superstars suddenly "stalled" at the start of the championship (and sometimes longer). At this time, by the way, it is particularly advantageous to catch the office at inflated rates to outsiders. Also, a sufficient number of sensations happens in the early stages of the cups (the country, the league of the European cup), especially if the winner is revealed in a single match: due to underestimating the opponent, due to lack of motivation grants, etc. And cups countries and especially in the League Cup profitable to bet against the favorites at any stage up to the quarter-finals.
Championship Mid-that is, about his second and third quarter, usually quite predictable: it becomes more or less clear who is at that claim, and on the other hand, for most teams still is no urgent need for glasses, on the one hand liberating psychologically and on the other, it gives a better chance to take "their" points, that is, predictably win. And here is the final part (last quarter) round robin tournament is about as unpredictable as the initial (unless it is a corrupt championship, where just the opposite, with sufficient knowledge of backstage intrigue is most easily "predictable"): many teams there is increased responsibility for the outcome, the investigation of which were discussed above.
Do not miss out of sight, and other information pertaining to the game: Who will judge (this refers mainly to international matches, where the judges from different countries is different and the manner of refereeing), what will be the weather, if the game is played outdoors (Russian football teams in the European Cup is easier to play in the cold, than, say, heat-loving Spaniards, although this advantage is often subjective), the style of play of both teams, and how it is convenient or inconvenient for opponents, support of the fans (on the football and basketball arenas in Greece and Turkey guests always have a hard time because of the pressure the stands, while in Scandinavia, for example, the audience at the same numbers are always much calmer), etc. etc. - For each sport has its own specifics that may affect the outcome of the match. In short, the more information about the game, the better, though even with comprehensive data, the success rate is not guaranteed (in the end, during the match may be a situation that will change all the pre-match decomposed, for example, one or more deletions in a football match) but at least it increases the likelihood.
So, selecting the events and outcomes, look to see if their higher ratios in other offices, especially if you put a large amount. When making a large purchase people tend to bypass all the shops and compare prices before you buy, but for some reason, relying on a large sum of (what is considered a large sum - an individual matter, but, for example, at a rate of $ 1,000 difference in the coefficients only one tenth of the difference gives a benefit equal to $ 100!), the ability to compare the "price" (factors) and choose the best is often neglected. As has been said, if for some outcomes you do not find a suitable index, it is better not to put him at all than to risk money for the notoriously low scoring.
And finally - a useful tip: never change their opinion, the outcome, which is going to put on, "last minute", the window in the cash office off-line, or by holding the mouse cursor on the button "bet" online. It is especially difficult to resist this in the first case, especially when you are aloud to share your thoughts, and your "colleagues" may convince you to change your mind. In this case, it is better to abandon the bid or move and think again, than succumbing to his own impulsiveness, at the decisive moment to change your mind.
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